I can at least understand the blind conservative hero worship of Trump as some sort of populist hero, but I really don't get the veneration of Musk. Not only did he lie about his connections to Epstein and having a poor upbringing, but he is a major government contractor who launches spy satellites for the Pentagon. How do people honestly expect him to take on the deep state when he's a big part of it? Not to mention the dystopian transhumanism Neuralink stuff and connections with Peter Thiel (someone else who many conservatives have an inexplicable love for). Someone else on here said that the right is so weak and easily manipulated because all they need to love something is to be told that "the left" hates it, and I definitely think that's true. Just have CNN and MSNBC run some segments smearing Musk as a fascist and the right will love him.
The right by and large is reactionary -- it reacts against whatever the left does with emotionality, namely anger, without having a broader worldview other than "liberalism without foreigners." This is a big part why it always loses. It's important not to fall into the reactionary trap, even if it's tempting.
Perhaps you missed it but the MAGA crowd furiously called out Elon and Vivek when they veered from the America First agenda. MAGA's is policy driven and it doesn't suffer anti American ideas no matter if they come from Rinos, Musk, Vivek or Donald Trump himself. And thank God for that.
I predict we will see more use of AI video to generate synthetic false flag events like Oct. 7th, since it worked so well and was believed by most people.
It is now proven that all the "Hamas GoPro" video footage is AI generated:
I predict we will see Howard Lutnick, Peter Thiel, Elon Musk and others build out the infrastructure for a cbdc based carbon credit scheme so it is turn key for the next administration. Low power IOT wireless tech like Lorawan will be required in all devices and vehicles that use power. It will log usage and report to a IOT router, potentially using Starlink for Internet connectivity in remote areas. Non compliance will happen via satellite carbon tracking (Satelogic). The carbon usage will be sold with smart contracts on a cbdc trading platform. I agree that this system will be used to pivot away from the dollar and accompanying national debt.
See? Proof that AI is not necessary. I did notice most of your predictions are linear projections, and are ultimately based on the safe belief that huge systems with large amounts of inertia will keep moving in the direction they have long been moving in. The real trick in prognostication is to predict very odd yet important events like RFJ Jrs.' political movement this past year, and Trump's welcoming of same. Probably can't be done by anyone.
What with all the techies (and others) more or less simultaneously seeking to ingratiate themselves with Trump, it appears to me that they all know that their industry is now in deep doo-doo because of tech plateauing, increasing energy costs, and even faster decelerating economic growth. They are all consequently overstepping the real strengths of their positions and their real levels of competence. I'm pretty sure Trump can 'feel' that but is keeping that appraisal of the situation to himself for possible later use. (They are acting like a bunch of floozies who see a rich man and are willing to sell themselves for the chance to access some nice cash flow.)
Ukraine conflict most likely is supposed to go on indefinitely - to keep the masses in check and to keep the possibility of depopulation event viable. It will be on the backburner - unless they decide to trigger the depopulation event prematurely, in which case all bets are off.
That Agenda 2030 thing.....2000 years AD. That had never even crossed my mind, and it sounds so plausible in the context the apparent agenda and driving force of the elites. It explains the renewed urgency of the UN/WEF SDG goals and all the rest. Milliband for example and his clearly insane (on the face of it) drive to make the UK "net zero" (albeit in the dark and freezing) by 2030. Great post. Depressing as usual, but I am inured to your style by now :).
Great work! I want to disagree with your predictions, but I don’t think I can. I really look forward to your future post about what you’ve learned from pst predictions that were inaccurate. I respect humility and a willingness to learn. Probably one of the reasons I tend to give what you write more credence than others.
Your work with natal charts is really illuminating. In the post I would have dismissed it outright, but lately I think there is a lot to it, thanks to your work on that topic and physiognomy.
Thanks Simon. I hope my predictions are wrong and that there’s more positive things in store for 2025. It would be nice to recalibrate my worldview to be more positive than less for once - lol.
Solid predictions, generally agree. Re H1b kerfuffle - I don't see how it is possible to make "unlimited" legal immigration on the scale of the illegal one. The H1B visa program has a small quota (it used to be as high as 300K/year during Clinton, but currently is something like 85K visas per year! https://redbus2us.com/visas/usa/h1b-visa/fy-2025-season/ This visa status is only available for advanced degrees - masters or higher. All of these applications get taken up immediately by the Indian visa mills. So any applicant not from India and not for tech sector can only participate as a lottery. In addition, the process is difficult, requires a lot of justification and paperwork from both the prospective employee and employer. This needs to be reviewed and somehow adjudicated by the government administrators. I suspect the numbers are so limited because the government stealing so much money into the politicians and their friends pockets that there are no actual gov workers to do this. As a personal note, I graduated my MBA program at Dartmouth in the summer of 1999. I had a full time job offer by November of 1998. The quota for H1Bs was high at the time (300K), but was already very competitive and hard to get. I had to use an additional program that was already developed between universities and private employers - Optional Practical Training status, i.e. working first year at my job as if it was further "training". That was to give the employer time and increase the chances that they would get the H1B issued. I was paid exactly the same as my American co-workers, to the penny, there was no difference. In fact, that's a very strict requirement the employer has to show, that they are not using the program to get cheap labor. Since the program is only for advanced degrees, the salaries are high. Mine was 6 figures in 1999. In addition, the employer had to pay a hefty processing fee $3000 and obviously carry all the costs of compiling the application. So, when looking for a job, my chances were very badly affected by all of this. I went through 200+ interviews to land the job where my employer would be so interested in me as to do all this.
Bottom line, today 85K visas for advanced degree legal immigrants is a drop in the bucket. The program does bring in good people, but because now it is all Indian visa mills, the quality has deteriorated (the visa mills take bribes on both ends, and don't care about the true quality of the candidates). The program should be reformed, and visa mills should be made illegal.
Hi Sasha, separate from but related to the H1b issue, Trump came out supporting Musk and he wants to expand immigration to cover anyone who graduates from any college in America. He stated, "If you graduate from a U.S. college - two-year, four-year, or doctoral - you should automatically get a green card to stay." https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gfx9OiNXQAAds4B?format=jpg&name=medium
Combining this with the current problems of chain migration and birthright citizenship, and this could be the way that Trump's handlers dramatically expand "legal" immigration.
Worse than this though is the tone that is being even before Trump has ascended to the presidency: that the energy is rapidly becoming about expanding legal immigration instead of the overwhelming support in the party for focusing on mass deportations and cutting back on immigration entirely. This is the shot across the bow for undermining the will of the people, and *that* is why Musk/Scammerswamy's statements are being highlighted so heavily, imo.
Neoliberal, I am familiar with Sasha’s work and am not trying to discount her achievements. However, I was triggered by the insufferable arrogance of “this visa program brings in good people”. Well, we don’t need any more “good people” - we have enough of our own good people. She is sounding like like Vivek and Elon. And we don’t need people with those sorts of attitude here, no matter how “good” they are at their chosen professions.
So Sasha, do you no longer have a loyalty to your country of origin? When did you decide that America is “your country”? And why do you feel so confident that “bringing good people in” is a requirement for this country? Has your immigration here improved the lives of native-born Americans in any way? I understand it has tremendously benefitted you.
I am a citizen of the United States of America, and I do not have any other citizenship. I have created 3 companies, by risking everything - both me and my husband gave up two 6 figure jobs, moved to upstate with a 6-week newborn son, and worked 80-hour week to make this happen. We raised venture capital in a poor undeveloped region of upstate NY (which previously received zero of it vs Silicon Valley), and grew businesses from zero to profitable with total employment of over 1000 well paying jobs, employing Americans where there was NO previous employment, with all benefits - health, retirement, vacations, etc. Our companies repeatedly voted best places to work in that city. The companies are still around and still employ people. I paid many millions of dollars to the US gov in taxes, which they turned into looting and murder including into destruction of what used to be my country of birth. Now, I also uncovered the DOD-lead global mass murder and fraud operation, masquerading as "public health" and spoke about it early enough (at the expense of my career and loss of many friends) so that thousands of people ,here in the US and in many other countries could save themselves and their children from it. Turns out, I have benefited America and thousands of Americans. What have you accomplished? Why don't you fk off to your native land, wherever that is, and stop being a dick here. People like you make US look bad and should be deported for the benefit of this great nation.
Honey you can’t deport me because unlike you, I’m FROM here. While it does sound like you HAVE contributed positively to actual Americans, such is not the case for the vast, vast majority of immigrants who come here. Most immigration is a net loss to actual Americans. It’s nice that your presence has not been a net drain. One more question for you, though - if this country had not been gracious enough to let you in, would you have been better off than you are now? If you had stayed in the FSU, would your overall living conditions be better than they are now? Hardly. I’m missing a very basic level of gratitude here because you know what? Nobody had to let you in. Have a nice day.
Baby! Because of course you are "from here"! LMAO. Because every anonymous troll on the internet with Michigan in their name is. You need to be grateful to me, not that I need it from a piece of garbage that you are, regardless from WHERE. There are good people and bad people in the world, and sadly, location of birth does not determine which is which. Good day to you, dear "American". Enjoy your living conditions in "Michigan". I am certain that your deteriorating living conditions are 100% result of you being trash human being, not any immigrant. That's a fact. I have seen a lot, but your kind is simply disgusting. That's why I would prefer that we could kick the likes of you out to rebuild this nation on it's founding principles.
> ‘My preferred grounding mechanism is one of recursive prediction where I make predictions about the future and, to the extent I am wrong, I updates my views accordingly.’
I love this so much!
You explain so concisely things I’ve felt but not been able to articulate.
It reminds me of something else I came across that ties in:
Thanks Crumpet. I agree with you - understanding problems must come before any fixes or reforms. How can one solve for an issue that isn't properly understood? And it seems to me that the so-called "counter-elite" are trying to solve for problems that don't go nearly to the heart of the matter.
I don't agree with including Curtis Yarvin on that list.
He has his chosen blind spots (and one Blind Spot, to be sure); he is who he is and isn't who he isn't; yet I don't see him as a paid or controlled actor.
And yet, if many realized the content of Yarvin's teachings and were *worthy* of acting on it, the very system he has decided to not oppose in a genuine dissident fashion would crumble, as readily as a house of cards from the blowing of wind.
IMPORTANT: Klitschko family lawyer Sukhanov (https://t.me/zimovskyAL/34736) was arrested while accepting a million dollar bribe, which he accepted for resolving issues related to the allocation of an elite land plot in the Kiev city council.
The money is vacuum-packed, $100,000 in each pack. It is clear that it is straight from American aid, unopened.
I can at least understand the blind conservative hero worship of Trump as some sort of populist hero, but I really don't get the veneration of Musk. Not only did he lie about his connections to Epstein and having a poor upbringing, but he is a major government contractor who launches spy satellites for the Pentagon. How do people honestly expect him to take on the deep state when he's a big part of it? Not to mention the dystopian transhumanism Neuralink stuff and connections with Peter Thiel (someone else who many conservatives have an inexplicable love for). Someone else on here said that the right is so weak and easily manipulated because all they need to love something is to be told that "the left" hates it, and I definitely think that's true. Just have CNN and MSNBC run some segments smearing Musk as a fascist and the right will love him.
You're exactly right, dgb. Musk is deeply keyed into the military/industrial complex and he formed a new business venture with Thiel which is going to be awful: https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2024/12/22/report-palantir-and-andruil-forming-consortium-with-spacex-open-ai-sardonic-and-scale-ai-to-bid-on-new-age-government-defense-contracts/
The right by and large is reactionary -- it reacts against whatever the left does with emotionality, namely anger, without having a broader worldview other than "liberalism without foreigners." This is a big part why it always loses. It's important not to fall into the reactionary trap, even if it's tempting.
Perhaps you missed it but the MAGA crowd furiously called out Elon and Vivek when they veered from the America First agenda. MAGA's is policy driven and it doesn't suffer anti American ideas no matter if they come from Rinos, Musk, Vivek or Donald Trump himself. And thank God for that.
Fleshing out #13 and #15:
I predict we will see more use of AI video to generate synthetic false flag events like Oct. 7th, since it worked so well and was believed by most people.
It is now proven that all the "Hamas GoPro" video footage is AI generated:
https://www.bitchute.com/video/1gHC5exNDpKA
#17 and #18:
I predict we will see Howard Lutnick, Peter Thiel, Elon Musk and others build out the infrastructure for a cbdc based carbon credit scheme so it is turn key for the next administration. Low power IOT wireless tech like Lorawan will be required in all devices and vehicles that use power. It will log usage and report to a IOT router, potentially using Starlink for Internet connectivity in remote areas. Non compliance will happen via satellite carbon tracking (Satelogic). The carbon usage will be sold with smart contracts on a cbdc trading platform. I agree that this system will be used to pivot away from the dollar and accompanying national debt.
The stock market no longer sells ownership of stocks, not even big stocks like Google etc.
And like the great depression, a lot of the money in the market is borrowed money.
https://charleshughsmith.substack.com/p/is-placing-a-wager-in-a-casino-an
Wow. Major black pill. :(
Dour much?
I ran the draft through ChatGPT (only to ask for a review of it, not to write it) and it called the predictions "deeply cynical"!
See? Proof that AI is not necessary. I did notice most of your predictions are linear projections, and are ultimately based on the safe belief that huge systems with large amounts of inertia will keep moving in the direction they have long been moving in. The real trick in prognostication is to predict very odd yet important events like RFJ Jrs.' political movement this past year, and Trump's welcoming of same. Probably can't be done by anyone.
What with all the techies (and others) more or less simultaneously seeking to ingratiate themselves with Trump, it appears to me that they all know that their industry is now in deep doo-doo because of tech plateauing, increasing energy costs, and even faster decelerating economic growth. They are all consequently overstepping the real strengths of their positions and their real levels of competence. I'm pretty sure Trump can 'feel' that but is keeping that appraisal of the situation to himself for possible later use. (They are acting like a bunch of floozies who see a rich man and are willing to sell themselves for the chance to access some nice cash flow.)
Ukraine conflict most likely is supposed to go on indefinitely - to keep the masses in check and to keep the possibility of depopulation event viable. It will be on the backburner - unless they decide to trigger the depopulation event prematurely, in which case all bets are off.
That Agenda 2030 thing.....2000 years AD. That had never even crossed my mind, and it sounds so plausible in the context the apparent agenda and driving force of the elites. It explains the renewed urgency of the UN/WEF SDG goals and all the rest. Milliband for example and his clearly insane (on the face of it) drive to make the UK "net zero" (albeit in the dark and freezing) by 2030. Great post. Depressing as usual, but I am inured to your style by now :).
I love predictions because it is exciting to see if it plays out or not and why.
Talking about the past is so much more boring compared to the future although enlightening.
Great work! I want to disagree with your predictions, but I don’t think I can. I really look forward to your future post about what you’ve learned from pst predictions that were inaccurate. I respect humility and a willingness to learn. Probably one of the reasons I tend to give what you write more credence than others.
Your work with natal charts is really illuminating. In the post I would have dismissed it outright, but lately I think there is a lot to it, thanks to your work on that topic and physiognomy.
Thanks Simon. I hope my predictions are wrong and that there’s more positive things in store for 2025. It would be nice to recalibrate my worldview to be more positive than less for once - lol.
Solid predictions, generally agree. Re H1b kerfuffle - I don't see how it is possible to make "unlimited" legal immigration on the scale of the illegal one. The H1B visa program has a small quota (it used to be as high as 300K/year during Clinton, but currently is something like 85K visas per year! https://redbus2us.com/visas/usa/h1b-visa/fy-2025-season/ This visa status is only available for advanced degrees - masters or higher. All of these applications get taken up immediately by the Indian visa mills. So any applicant not from India and not for tech sector can only participate as a lottery. In addition, the process is difficult, requires a lot of justification and paperwork from both the prospective employee and employer. This needs to be reviewed and somehow adjudicated by the government administrators. I suspect the numbers are so limited because the government stealing so much money into the politicians and their friends pockets that there are no actual gov workers to do this. As a personal note, I graduated my MBA program at Dartmouth in the summer of 1999. I had a full time job offer by November of 1998. The quota for H1Bs was high at the time (300K), but was already very competitive and hard to get. I had to use an additional program that was already developed between universities and private employers - Optional Practical Training status, i.e. working first year at my job as if it was further "training". That was to give the employer time and increase the chances that they would get the H1B issued. I was paid exactly the same as my American co-workers, to the penny, there was no difference. In fact, that's a very strict requirement the employer has to show, that they are not using the program to get cheap labor. Since the program is only for advanced degrees, the salaries are high. Mine was 6 figures in 1999. In addition, the employer had to pay a hefty processing fee $3000 and obviously carry all the costs of compiling the application. So, when looking for a job, my chances were very badly affected by all of this. I went through 200+ interviews to land the job where my employer would be so interested in me as to do all this.
Bottom line, today 85K visas for advanced degree legal immigrants is a drop in the bucket. The program does bring in good people, but because now it is all Indian visa mills, the quality has deteriorated (the visa mills take bribes on both ends, and don't care about the true quality of the candidates). The program should be reformed, and visa mills should be made illegal.
Hi Sasha, separate from but related to the H1b issue, Trump came out supporting Musk and he wants to expand immigration to cover anyone who graduates from any college in America. He stated, "If you graduate from a U.S. college - two-year, four-year, or doctoral - you should automatically get a green card to stay." https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gfx9OiNXQAAds4B?format=jpg&name=medium
Combining this with the current problems of chain migration and birthright citizenship, and this could be the way that Trump's handlers dramatically expand "legal" immigration.
Worse than this though is the tone that is being even before Trump has ascended to the presidency: that the energy is rapidly becoming about expanding legal immigration instead of the overwhelming support in the party for focusing on mass deportations and cutting back on immigration entirely. This is the shot across the bow for undermining the will of the people, and *that* is why Musk/Scammerswamy's statements are being highlighted so heavily, imo.
You should go back to your own country.
Hi Sleepless, it's fine to disagree with someone in the comments but try to keep it civil, thank you...
So neoliberal, have you counted how many times Sasha called me the c-word? Why no exhortation for her to “keep it civil”?
Neoliberal, I am familiar with Sasha’s work and am not trying to discount her achievements. However, I was triggered by the insufferable arrogance of “this visa program brings in good people”. Well, we don’t need any more “good people” - we have enough of our own good people. She is sounding like like Vivek and Elon. And we don’t need people with those sorts of attitude here, no matter how “good” they are at their chosen professions.
My country is the United States of America. You should go back to yours, and stop fking up mine.
So Sasha, do you no longer have a loyalty to your country of origin? When did you decide that America is “your country”? And why do you feel so confident that “bringing good people in” is a requirement for this country? Has your immigration here improved the lives of native-born Americans in any way? I understand it has tremendously benefitted you.
I am a citizen of the United States of America, and I do not have any other citizenship. I have created 3 companies, by risking everything - both me and my husband gave up two 6 figure jobs, moved to upstate with a 6-week newborn son, and worked 80-hour week to make this happen. We raised venture capital in a poor undeveloped region of upstate NY (which previously received zero of it vs Silicon Valley), and grew businesses from zero to profitable with total employment of over 1000 well paying jobs, employing Americans where there was NO previous employment, with all benefits - health, retirement, vacations, etc. Our companies repeatedly voted best places to work in that city. The companies are still around and still employ people. I paid many millions of dollars to the US gov in taxes, which they turned into looting and murder including into destruction of what used to be my country of birth. Now, I also uncovered the DOD-lead global mass murder and fraud operation, masquerading as "public health" and spoke about it early enough (at the expense of my career and loss of many friends) so that thousands of people ,here in the US and in many other countries could save themselves and their children from it. Turns out, I have benefited America and thousands of Americans. What have you accomplished? Why don't you fk off to your native land, wherever that is, and stop being a dick here. People like you make US look bad and should be deported for the benefit of this great nation.
Honey you can’t deport me because unlike you, I’m FROM here. While it does sound like you HAVE contributed positively to actual Americans, such is not the case for the vast, vast majority of immigrants who come here. Most immigration is a net loss to actual Americans. It’s nice that your presence has not been a net drain. One more question for you, though - if this country had not been gracious enough to let you in, would you have been better off than you are now? If you had stayed in the FSU, would your overall living conditions be better than they are now? Hardly. I’m missing a very basic level of gratitude here because you know what? Nobody had to let you in. Have a nice day.
Baby! Because of course you are "from here"! LMAO. Because every anonymous troll on the internet with Michigan in their name is. You need to be grateful to me, not that I need it from a piece of garbage that you are, regardless from WHERE. There are good people and bad people in the world, and sadly, location of birth does not determine which is which. Good day to you, dear "American". Enjoy your living conditions in "Michigan". I am certain that your deteriorating living conditions are 100% result of you being trash human being, not any immigrant. That's a fact. I have seen a lot, but your kind is simply disgusting. That's why I would prefer that we could kick the likes of you out to rebuild this nation on it's founding principles.
> ‘My preferred grounding mechanism is one of recursive prediction where I make predictions about the future and, to the extent I am wrong, I updates my views accordingly.’
I love this so much!
You explain so concisely things I’ve felt but not been able to articulate.
It reminds me of something else I came across that ties in:
‘A forecast helps your prepare’.
Thanks Crumpet. I agree with you - understanding problems must come before any fixes or reforms. How can one solve for an issue that isn't properly understood? And it seems to me that the so-called "counter-elite" are trying to solve for problems that don't go nearly to the heart of the matter.
I don't agree with including Curtis Yarvin on that list.
He has his chosen blind spots (and one Blind Spot, to be sure); he is who he is and isn't who he isn't; yet I don't see him as a paid or controlled actor.
I’m not sure if the caption is real, but I believe the photo is:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GacFkUkXsAEjDH7?format=png&name=900x900
And yet, if many realized the content of Yarvin's teachings and were *worthy* of acting on it, the very system he has decided to not oppose in a genuine dissident fashion would crumble, as readily as a house of cards from the blowing of wind.
The Third Jewish World War is coming now!
Satan’s Kingdom on Earth will be destroyed
and the Jews exterminated!
Russia will wipe out the Jew Nazi West!
The Free World will prevail!
2025 in a nutshell!
IMPORTANT: Klitschko family lawyer Sukhanov (https://t.me/zimovskyAL/34736) was arrested while accepting a million dollar bribe, which he accepted for resolving issues related to the allocation of an elite land plot in the Kiev city council.
The money is vacuum-packed, $100,000 in each pack. It is clear that it is straight from American aid, unopened.
War Reports - 2024-12-28 - Main Report, by
@_askeptik
https://open.substack.com/pub/askeptic/p/war-reports-2024-12-28?r=byea&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
As always, Nothing Good Ever Happens.
Ashes and Echoes